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Inter Turku vs SJK Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Regular Season - 12 ·Tuesday, June 23, 2026, 16:00

Inter Turku

PPG 2.14 · HOME

UPCOMING

SJK

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 57.4% vs bookmaker-implied 65.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-15.3%0-21.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.8%1-19.9%1-23.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.8%2-19.2%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.6%3-15.7%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-14.1%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 57.4% 1.52 -12.8%

Draw 22.4% 3.95 -6.9%

Away win 20.1% 5.60 +7.5%

Over 2.5 53.8% 1.67 -10.2%

Over 3.5 32.6% 2.65 -13.6%

BTTS 51.0% 1.70 -13.3%

Win probability 1X2

Inter Turku (H) 57.4%

ODDS 1.52 · IMPLIED 65.8% EV -12.8%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -6.9%

SJK (A) 20.1%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV +7.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 28%

BTTS 24%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob51.0%

H 57% / xG 1.9-0.7 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.8%

#2 1–0 14.8%

#3 1–1 9.9%

#4 0–0 7.9%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Turku1.9

SJK0.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER TURKU · PPG 2.14

SJK · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=57.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Turku face SJK in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Tuesday, June 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Turku a 57% chance, the draw 22% and SJK 20%, so Inter Turku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Inter Turku and 0.7 for SJK (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Turku are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.80 for SJK. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.5%.

Inter Turku vs SJK Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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