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Inter Turku vs SJK Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Matchday 12 ·Tuesday, June 23, 2026, 16:00

Inter Turku

PPG 2.14 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

SJK

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 57.4% vs bookmaker-implied 65.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.9%0-15.3%0-21.8%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-014.8%1-19.9%1-23.3%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.8%2-19.2%2-23.1%2-30.7%2-4+0.1%3 3-08.6%3-15.7%3-21.9%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-06.1%4+-14.1%4+-21.4%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 57.4% 65.8% 1.52 -12.8%

Draw 22.4% 25.3% 3.95 -6.9%

Away win 20.1% 17.9% 5.60 +7.5%

Over 2.5 53.8% 59.9% 1.67 -10.2%

Over 3.5 32.6% 37.7% 2.65 -13.6%

BTTS 51.0% 58.8% 1.70 -13.3%

Home O1.5 54.4% 63.7% 1.57 -14.6%

Away O1.5 22.9% 27.4% 3.65 -9.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 66 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 41%

BTTS 44%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 21.0%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob51.0%

H 57% / xG 1.9-0.7 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.8%

#2 1–0 14.8%

#3 1–1✓ 9.9%

#4 0–0 7.9%

#5 2–1 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Turku1.9

SJK0.7

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.6%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER TURKU · PPG 2.14

SJK · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=57.4%

Win probability 1X2

Inter Turku (H) 57.4%

ODDS 1.52 · IMPLIED 65.8% EV -12.8%

Draw 22.4%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -6.9%

SJK (A) 20.1%

ODDS 5.60 · IMPLIED 17.9% EV +7.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Turku face SJK in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Tuesday, June 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Turku a 57% chance, the draw 22% and SJK 20%, so Inter Turku are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Inter Turku and 0.7 for SJK (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Turku are averaging 2.14 points per game versus 0.80 for SJK. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.5%. This match finished 1-1.

Inter Turku vs SJK Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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