Today / Iberia vs Meshakhte
Iberia vs Meshakhte Prediction
Tuesday, June 23, 2026
// Model verdict
Home
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.78) vs P(Home)=58.9%
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Win probability
Correct score prediction
H 59% / xG 1.8-0.6 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%
Form & verdict
IBERIA · PPG 1.78
MESHAKHTE · PPG 0.67
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.78) vs P(Home)=58.9%
Match Preview & Prediction
Iberia face Meshakhte on Tuesday, June 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Iberia a 59% chance, the draw 23% and Meshakhte 18%, so Iberia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Iberia and 0.6 for Meshakhte (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Iberia are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 0.67 for Meshakhte.