Today / Lahti vs TPS

Lahti vs TPS Prediction

Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Lahti

PPG 1.33 · HOME

UPCOMING

TPS

PPG 0.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=45.9%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-110.1%0-24.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.6%1-113.0%1-26.2%1-32.0%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.8%2-18.4%2-24.0%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.8%3-13.6%3-21.7%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 45.9% — —

Draw 27.7% — —

Away win 26.4% — —

Over 2.5 49.8% — —

Over 3.5 28.6% — —

BTTS 52.6% — —

Win probability 1X2

Lahti (H) 45.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

TPS (A) 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 25%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.6%

H 46% / xG 1.3-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 10.5%

#3 1–0 13.6%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 2–1 8.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lahti1.3

TPS1.0

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LAHTI · PPG 1.33

TPS · PPG 0.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.33) vs P(Home)=45.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lahti face TPS on Tuesday, June 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lahti a 46% chance, the draw 28% and TPS 26%, so Lahti are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lahti and 1.0 for TPS (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lahti are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 0.40 for TPS.

Lahti vs TPS Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

More Football Predictions