Today / Finland - Veikkausliiga / VPS vs Oulu

VPS vs Oulu Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Regular Season - 12 ·Tuesday, June 23, 2026, 15:00

VPS

PPG 1.80 · HOME

UPCOMING

Oulu

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.1%0-115.7%0-27.6%0-32.5%0-4+0.7%1 1-013.7%1-113.4%1-26.5%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-05.8%2-15.7%2-22.8%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.7%3-11.6%3-20.8%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 32.3% 2.40 -22.5%

Draw 31.7% 3.15 -0.1%

Away win 36.0% 2.82 +1.5%

Over 2.5 37.3% 1.91 -28.8%

Over 3.5 18.6% 3.30 -23.2%

BTTS 48.1% 1.67 -19.7%

Win probability 1X2

VPS (H) 32.3%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -22.5%

Draw 31.7%

ODDS 3.15 · IMPLIED 31.7% EV -0.1%

Oulu (A) 36.0%

ODDS 2.82 · IMPLIED 35.5% EV +1.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 28%

BTTS 24%

Score Hit 32%

ROI 3.3%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.1%

D 32% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.1%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–1 15.7%

#4 1–0 13.7%

#5 0–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VPS0.9

Oulu1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.3% · O3.5 PROB 18.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VPS · PPG 1.80

OULU · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.43)

Match Preview & Prediction

VPS face Oulu in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Tuesday, June 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VPS a 32% chance, the draw 32% and Oulu 36%, so Oulu are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for VPS and 1.0 for Oulu (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VPS are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.43 for Oulu. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +1.5%.

VPS vs Oulu Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Veikkausliiga Predictions