Today / Riteriai vs Hegelmann L.

Riteriai vs Hegelmann L. Prediction

Monday, June 22, 2026

Riteriai

PPG 0.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hegelmann L.

PPG 0.71 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Home weakness: POOR (0.29) vs Away POOR (0.71)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.9%0-116.1%0-213.2%0-37.2%0-4+4.3%1 1-06.7%1-111.0%1-29.0%1-34.9%1-4+2.9%2 2-02.3%2-13.7%2-23.0%2-31.7%2-4+1.0%3 3-00.5%3-10.8%3-20.7%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 18.1% — —

Draw 24.2% — —

Away win 57.7% — —

Over 2.5 49.5% — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — —

BTTS 48.5% — —

Win probability 1X2

Riteriai (H) 18.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hegelmann L. (A) 57.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob48.5%

A 58% / xG 0.7-1.6 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1 16.1%

#2 0–2 13.2%

#3 1–1 11.0%

#4 0–0 9.9%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Riteriai0.7

Hegelmann L.1.6

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

RITERIAI · PPG 0.29

HEGELMANN L. · PPG 0.71

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.29) vs Away POOR (0.71)

Match Preview & Prediction

Riteriai face Hegelmann L. on Monday, June 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Riteriai a 18% chance, the draw 24% and Hegelmann L. 58%, so Hegelmann L. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Riteriai and 1.6 for Hegelmann L. (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Riteriai are averaging 0.29 points per game versus 0.71 for Hegelmann L..

Riteriai vs Hegelmann L. Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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