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Goias vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Matchday 14 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 21:30

Goias

PPG 2.00 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

Operario PR

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-112.1%0-26.1%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.5%1-113.5%1-26.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.5%2-17.5%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.8%3-12.8%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% 46.5% 2.15 -24.5%

Draw 29.8% 32.8% 3.05 -5.5%

Away win 35.1% 27.8% 3.60 +26.4%

Over 2.5 47.6% 40.8% 2.45 +16.6%

Over 3.5 28.1% 21.1% 4.75 +20.1%

BTTS 48.5% 50.0% 2.00 -3.0%

Home O1.5 36.4% 40.8% 2.45 -10.8%

Away O1.5 31.9% 27.0% 3.70 +18.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 130 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 45%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 58%

ROI 20.2%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.5%

D 30% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.2%

#3 1–0 13.5%

#4 0–1 12.1%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goias1.1

Operario PR1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GOIAS · PPG 2.00

OPERARIO PR · PPG 1.17

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=35.1%

Win probability 1X2

Goias (H) 35.1%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -24.5%

Draw 29.8%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -5.5%

Operario PR (A) 35.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +26.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Goias face Operario PR in Brazil - Serie B on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goias a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Operario PR 35%, so Goias are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Goias and 1.0 for Operario PR (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goias are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Operario PR. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +26.4%. This match finished 0-3.

Goias vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Serie B Predictions