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Goias vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 21:30

Goias

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Operario PR

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.2%0-112.1%0-26.1%0-32.0%0-4+0.6%1 1-013.5%1-113.5%1-26.7%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-07.5%2-17.5%2-23.7%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.8%3-12.8%3-21.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.0%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 35.1% 2.15 -24.5%

Draw 29.8% 3.05 -5.5%

Away win 35.1% 3.60 +26.4%

Over 2.5 47.6% 2.45 +16.6%

Over 3.5 28.1% 4.75 +20.1%

BTTS 48.5% 2.00 -3.0%

Win probability 1X2

Goias (H) 35.1%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -24.5%

Draw 29.8%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -5.5%

Operario PR (A) 35.1%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +26.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 85.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob48.5%

D 30% / xG 1.1-1.0 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 12.2%

#3 1–0 13.5%

#4 0–1 12.1%

#5 2–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Goias1.1

Operario PR1.0

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GOIAS · PPG 2.00

OPERARIO PR · PPG 1.17

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=35.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Goias face Operario PR in Brazil - Serie B on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Goias a 35% chance, the draw 30% and Operario PR 35%, so Goias are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Goias and 1.0 for Operario PR (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Goias are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Operario PR. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +26.4%.

Goias vs Operario PR Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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