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Sao Bernardo vs Juventude Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 20:00

Sao Bernardo

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Juventude

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.5%0-112.8%0-23.8%0-30.8%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.2%1-112.1%1-23.6%1-30.7%1-4+0.1%2 2-09.5%2-15.7%2-21.7%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.0%3-11.8%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 41.4% 2.48 +2.7%

Draw 32.4% 2.90 -6.0%

Away win 26.2% 3.10 -11.3%

Over 2.5 35.8% 2.55 -8.7%

Over 3.5 18.5% 5.00 -4.5%

BTTS 47.1% 2.05 -3.5%

Win probability 1X2

Sao Bernardo (H) 41.4%

ODDS 2.48 · IMPLIED 40.3% EV +2.7%

Draw 32.4%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -6.0%

Juventude (A) 26.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -11.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 85.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob47.1%

H 41% / xG 0.9-0.6 / U2.5 36% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.5%

#2 1–0 20.2%

#3 1–1 12.1%

#4 0–1 12.8%

#5 2–0 9.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sao Bernardo0.9

Juventude0.6

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.5%

Form & verdict PPG

SAO BERNARDO · PPG 1.29

JUVENTUDE · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.29) > Away POOR (0.83)

Match Preview & Prediction

Sao Bernardo face Juventude in Brazil - Serie B on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sao Bernardo a 41% chance, the draw 32% and Juventude 26%, so Sao Bernardo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Sao Bernardo and 0.6 for Juventude (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sao Bernardo are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.83 for Juventude. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +2.7%.

Sao Bernardo vs Juventude Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

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