Today / Brazil - Serie B / CRB vs Fortaleza

CRB vs Fortaleza Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Regular Season - 14 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 19:00

CRB

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fortaleza

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-19.3%0-25.3%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-011.2%1-112.7%1-27.2%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.6%2-18.7%2-24.9%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-03.5%3-13.9%3-22.2%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.8%4+-21.0%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 44.8% — —

Draw 27.2% — —

Away win 28.0% — —

Over 2.5 50.9% — —

Over 3.5 29.1% — —

BTTS 55.9% — —

Win probability 1X2

CRB (H) 44.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fortaleza (A) 28.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 52%

BTTS 45%

Score Hit 48%

ROI 85.5%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 26%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.9%

H 45% / xG 1.4-1.1 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.2%

#3 1–0 11.2%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

CRB1.4

Fortaleza1.1

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.9% · O3.5 PROB 29.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CRB · PPG 1.00

FORTALEZA · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Match Preview & Prediction

CRB face Fortaleza in Brazil - Serie B on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives CRB a 45% chance, the draw 27% and Fortaleza 28%, so CRB are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for CRB and 1.1 for Fortaleza (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, CRB are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.14 for Fortaleza.

CRB vs Fortaleza Prediction— Brazil - Serie B

Match Preview & Prediction

More Brazil - Serie B Predictions