Today / Rayo Zuliano vs Metropolitanos

Rayo Zuliano vs Metropolitanos Prediction

Apertura - 12 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 19:30

Rayo Zuliano

PPG 1.40 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Metropolitanos

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-112.9%0-29.1%0-34.2%0-4+2.0%1 1-09.1%1-112.7%1-28.9%1-34.1%1-4+2.0%2 2-04.5%2-16.2%2-24.4%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.5%3-12.0%3-21.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.4% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 46.6% — — —

Over 2.5 42.5% — — —

Over 3.5 21.7% — — —

BTTS 47.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob47.1%

A 47% / xG 1.0-1.4 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–1✓ 12.9%

#2 1–1 12.7%

#3 0–0 9.2%

#4 1–0 9.1%

#5 0–2 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rayo Zuliano1.0

Metropolitanos1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.5% · O3.5 PROB 21.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RAYO ZULIANO · PPG 1.40

METROPOLITANOS · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.40), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

Rayo Zuliano (H) 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Metropolitanos (A) 46.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Rayo Zuliano face Metropolitanos on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rayo Zuliano a 26% chance, the draw 27% and Metropolitanos 47%, so Metropolitanos are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Rayo Zuliano and 1.4 for Metropolitanos (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-1. There is a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rayo Zuliano are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 1.40 for Metropolitanos. This match finished 0-1.

Rayo Zuliano vs Metropolitanos Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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