Today / Iceland - 1. Deild / IR Reykjavik vs Volsungur
IR Reykjavik vs Volsungur Prediction— Iceland - 1. Deild
Regular Season - 10 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 16:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 65.9% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Win probability
Correct score prediction
H 58% / xG 2.6-1.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%
Form & verdict
IR REYKJAVIK · PPG 1.75
VOLSUNGUR · PPG 0.25
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=58.4%
Match Preview & Prediction
IR Reykjavik face Volsungur in Iceland - 1. Deild on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IR Reykjavik a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Volsungur 20%, so IR Reykjavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for IR Reykjavik and 1.1 for Volsungur (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IR Reykjavik are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 0.25 for Volsungur. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.9%.