Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 / Grorud vs Junkeren
Grorud vs Junkeren Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 2
Regular Season - 11 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 15:00
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 61.1% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Win probability
Correct score prediction
H 53% / xG 1.8-1.0 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.1% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%
Form & verdict
GRORUD · PPG 2.00
JUNKEREN · PPG 0.75
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=53.1%
Match Preview & Prediction
Grorud face Junkeren in Norway - 2. Division - Group 2 on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Grorud a 53% chance, the draw 23% and Junkeren 24%, so Grorud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Grorud and 1.0 for Junkeren (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Grorud are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Junkeren. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +28.5%.