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BATE Borisov vs Arsenal D. Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 15:00

BATE Borisov

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Arsenal D.

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.1%0-114.7%0-26.3%0-31.8%0-4+0.5%1 1-015.5%1-113.3%1-25.7%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.1%2-16.1%2-22.6%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-02.1%3-11.8%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.5%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 39.0% 2.30 -10.3%

Draw 33.2% 2.88 -4.4%

Away win 27.8% 3.00 -10.0%

Over 2.5 37.4% 2.26 -15.5%

Over 3.5 18.7% 4.00 -15.1%

BTTS 48.0% 1.91 -8.3%

Win probability 1X2

BATE Borisov (H) 39.0%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -10.3%

Draw 33.2%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -4.4%

Arsenal D. (A) 27.8%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -10.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 37 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 30%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.0%

H 39% / xG 0.9-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.1%

#2 1–1 13.3%

#3 1–0 15.5%

#4 0–1 14.7%

#5 2–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

BATE Borisov0.9

Arsenal D.0.9

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.4% · O3.5 PROB 18.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BATE BORISOV · PPG 1.00

ARSENAL D. · PPG 1.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Match Preview & Prediction

BATE Borisov face Arsenal D. in Belarus - Premier League on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives BATE Borisov a 39% chance, the draw 33% and Arsenal D. 28%, so BATE Borisov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for BATE Borisov and 0.9 for Arsenal D. (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, BATE Borisov are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.17 for Arsenal D..

BATE Borisov vs Arsenal D. Prediction— Belarus - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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