Today / Ariana vs Olympic
Ariana vs Olympic Prediction
Sunday, June 21, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Win probability
Correct score prediction
H 60% / xG 2.5-1.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.9% · O3.5 PROB 42.7%
Form & verdict
ARIANA · PPG 1.83
OLYMPIC · PPG 0.67
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.83) vs P(Home)=60.3%
Match Preview & Prediction
Ariana face Olympic on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ariana a 60% chance, the draw 20% and Olympic 19%, so Ariana are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Ariana and 1.1 for Olympic (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ariana are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 0.67 for Olympic.