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Wollongong W. vs Sydney FC B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Regular Season - 20 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 05:00

Wollongong W.

PPG 1.75 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

Sydney FC B

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.9%0-111.0%0-25.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.3%1-113.2%1-26.1%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.6%2-18.0%2-23.7%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.5%3-13.2%3-21.5%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 46.3% 2.10 -2.8%

Draw 28.2% 3.35 -3.3%

Away win 25.5% 3.10 -12.6%

Over 2.5 47.6% 1.77 -15.8%

Over 3.5 28.1% 2.95 -10.3%

BTTS 48.5% 1.60 -22.4%

Win probability 1X2

Wollongong W. (H) 46.3%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -2.8%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -3.3%

Sydney FC B (A) 25.5%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -12.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 79 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 46%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -13.5%

Bet Hit 53%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

H 46% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 48% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.9%

#3 1–0 14.3%

#4 0–1 11.0%

#5 2–0 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wollongong W.1.2

Sydney FC B0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

WOLLONGONG W. · PPG 1.75

SYDNEY FC B · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Match Preview & Prediction

Wollongong W. face Sydney FC B in Australia - New South Wales NPL on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wollongong W. a 46% chance, the draw 28% and Sydney FC B 26%, so Wollongong W. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Wollongong W. and 0.9 for Sydney FC B (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wollongong W. are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.14 for Sydney FC B. This match finished 2-3.

Wollongong W. vs Sydney FC B Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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