Today / Iceland - 2. Deild / Vikingur Olafsiik vs Selfoss

Vikingur Olafsiik vs Selfoss Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Matchday 16 ·Monday, August 10, 2026, 19:15

Vikingur Olafsiik

PPG 1.71 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Selfoss

PPG 1.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.0%0-22.9%0-31.8%0-4+1.4%1 1-03.6%1-16.8%1-26.5%1-34.1%1-4+3.0%2 2-04.0%2-17.6%2-27.2%2-34.6%2-4+3.4%3 3-03.0%3-15.6%3-25.4%3-33.4%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-15.3%4+-25.0%4+-33.2%4+-4+2.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.1% — — —

Draw 21.8% — — —

Away win 34.0% — — —

Over 2.5 67.5% — — —

Over 3.5 47.2% — — —

BTTS 69.4% — — —

Home O1.5 63.0% — — —

Away O1.5 53.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.4%

H 44% / xG 2.2-1.9 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 6.8%

#2 2–1 7.6%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 3–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vikingur Olafsiik2.2

Selfoss1.9

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.5% · O3.5 PROB 47.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKINGUR OLAFSIIK · PPG 1.71

SELFOSS · PPG 1.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.33 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vikingur Olafsiik (H) 44.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Selfoss (A) 34.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vikingur Olafsiik face Selfoss in Iceland - 2. Deild on Monday, August 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vikingur Olafsiik a 44% chance, the draw 22% and Selfoss 34%, so Vikingur Olafsiik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Vikingur Olafsiik and 1.9 for Selfoss (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vikingur Olafsiik are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.88 for Selfoss. This match finished 2-0.

Vikingur Olafsiik vs Selfoss Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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