Today / Iceland - 2. Deild / Selfoss vs Dalvík / Reynir

Selfoss vs Dalvík / Reynir Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Regular Season - 15 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 18:00

Selfoss

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Dalvík / Reynir

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.1%0-12.9%0-21.9%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-05.3%1-17.2%1-24.9%1-32.2%1-4+1.0%2 2-06.6%2-19.0%2-26.1%2-32.7%2-4+1.3%3 3-05.5%3-17.5%3-25.1%3-32.3%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-18.5%4+-25.8%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.2% — — —

Draw 21.9% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 47.4% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 64.0% — — —

Away O1.5 43.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob63.5%

H 54% / xG 2.5-1.4 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.0%

#2 1–1 7.2%

#3 3–1 7.5%

#4 2–0 6.6%

#5 2–2 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Selfoss2.5

Dalvík / Reynir1.4

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 47.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SELFOSS · PPG 1.83

DALVÍK / REYNIR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.15 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Selfoss (H) 54.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Dalvík / Reynir (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Selfoss face Dalvík / Reynir in Iceland - 2. Deild on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Selfoss a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Dalvík / Reynir 24%, so Selfoss are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Selfoss and 1.4 for Dalvík / Reynir (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Selfoss are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.00 for Dalvík / Reynir.

Selfoss vs Dalvík / Reynir Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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