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Hvíti riddarinn vs Magni Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Matchday 16 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 16:00

Hvíti riddarinn

PPG 1.12 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Magni

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-13.1%0-22.0%0-30.8%0-4+0.4%1 1-05.9%1-17.5%1-24.8%1-32.1%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.2%2-19.2%2-25.9%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.9%3-17.5%3-24.8%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-06.4%4+-18.2%4+-25.3%4+-32.3%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.6% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 22.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 44.7% — — —

BTTS 64.3% — — —

Home O1.5 62.4% — — —

Away O1.5 35.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob64.3%

H 56% / xG 2.4-1.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.2%

#2 1–1 7.5%

#3 3–1 7.5%

#4 2–0 7.2%

#5 2–2 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hvíti riddarinn2.4

Magni1.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.7%

Form & verdict PPG

HVÍTI RIDDARINN · PPG 1.12

MAGNI · PPG 0.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.17 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Hvíti riddarinn (H) 55.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Magni (A) 22.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hvíti riddarinn face Magni in Iceland - 2. Deild on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hvíti riddarinn a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Magni 23%, so Hvíti riddarinn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Hvíti riddarinn and 1.3 for Magni (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hvíti riddarinn are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 0.57 for Magni. This match finished 1-0.

Hvíti riddarinn vs Magni Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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