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Newcastle Jets II vs Central Coast II Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 27 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 07:00

Newcastle Jets II

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Central Coast II

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.8%0-22.9%0-32.0%0-4+1.6%1 1-03.0%1-16.3%1-26.5%1-34.4%1-4+3.7%2 2-03.4%2-17.0%2-27.2%2-35.0%2-4+4.1%3 3-02.5%3-15.2%3-25.4%3-33.7%3-4+3.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-14.9%4+-25.1%4+-33.5%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.9% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 31.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.6% — — —

Over 3.5 47.5% — — —

BTTS 69.6% — — —

Home O1.5 62.4% — — —

Away O1.5 54.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob69.6%

H 47% / xG 2.2-2.1 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 7.2%

#2 1–1✓ 6.3%

#3 2–1 7.0%

#4 1–2 6.5%

#5 3–2 5.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Newcastle Jets II2.2

Central Coast II2.1

COMBINED 4.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.6% · O3.5 PROB 47.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NEWCASTLE JETS II · PPG 1.00

CENTRAL COAST II · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.18 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Newcastle Jets II (H) 46.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Central Coast II (A) 31.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Newcastle Jets II face Central Coast II in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Newcastle Jets II a 47% chance, the draw 21% and Central Coast II 32%, so Newcastle Jets II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Newcastle Jets II and 2.1 for Central Coast II (4.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Newcastle Jets II are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.23 for Central Coast II. This match finished 1-1.

Newcastle Jets II vs Central Coast II Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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