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Dulwich Hill vs Macarthur Rams Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Matchday 27 ·Saturday, August 8, 2026, 07:00

Dulwich Hill

PPG 1.15 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Macarthur Rams

PPG 2.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 53.1% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.2%0-113.4%0-29.8%0-34.8%0-4+2.4%1 1-08.5%1-112.4%1-29.1%1-34.4%1-4+2.2%2 2-03.9%2-15.7%2-24.2%2-32.0%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.2%3-11.8%3-21.3%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.7% 34.5% 2.90 -10.1%

Draw 26.7% 30.3% 3.30 -7.1%

Away win 44.6% 48.8% 2.05 -8.6%

Over 2.5 50.3% 58.8% 1.70 -14.5%

Over 3.5 29.2% 39.7% 2.52 -15.8%

BTTS 53.1% 66.7% 1.50 -20.3%

Home O1.5 32.1% 43.5% 2.30 -26.2%

Away O1.5 43.7% 53.5% 1.87 -18.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 67%

Score Hit 54%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 23%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob53.1%

A 45% / xG 0.9-1.5 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–1 13.4%

#3 0–0 9.2%

#4 0–2 9.8%

#5 1–2✓ 9.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Dulwich Hill0.9

Macarthur Rams1.5

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.3% · O3.5 PROB 29.2%

Form & verdict PPG

DULWICH HILL · PPG 1.15

MACARTHUR RAMS · PPG 2.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.54 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Dulwich Hill (H) 28.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -10.1%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -7.1%

Macarthur Rams (A) 44.6%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -8.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Dulwich Hill face Macarthur Rams in Australia - New South Wales NPL 2 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Dulwich Hill a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Macarthur Rams 45%, so Macarthur Rams are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Dulwich Hill and 1.5 for Macarthur Rams (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Dulwich Hill are averaging 1.15 points per game versus 2.08 for Macarthur Rams. This match finished 1-2.

Dulwich Hill vs Macarthur Rams Prediction— Australia - New South Wales NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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