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Villa Dalmine vs Argentino Merlo Prediction

Unknown League Saturday, April 18, 2026
Villa Dalmine PPG 1.20
1-1 HIT CS4
Argentino Merlo PPG 1.80
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...
48% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Villa Dalmine face Argentino Merlo on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Villa Dalmine a 60% chance, the draw 31% and Argentino Merlo 10%, so Villa Dalmine are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Villa Dalmine and 0.3 for Argentino Merlo (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 20% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 19% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Villa Dalmine are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.80 for Argentino Merlo. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 59.9%
Odds: — EV: —
Draw 30.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Away 9.5%
Odds: — EV: —
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 20.2% Odds: —
Over 3.5 7.1% Odds: —
BTTS 19.1% Odds: —
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 2-0
4th 1-1
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Villa Dalmine
1.23
Argentino Merlo
0.32

Model Suggestion

Home MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ MIXED SIGNALS - Model favors home but form suggests away strength ...
48%
CAUTION_HOME

Caution: Away form (1.80) strong but model favors Home (P=59.9%)

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