Today / UAI Urquiza vs Talleres R. E.

UAI Urquiza vs Talleres R. E. Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

UAI Urquiza
PPG 1.20 · HOME
0 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · DRAW
Talleres R. E.
PPG 1.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Draw

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-051.6%0-112.5%0-21.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-021.6%1-15.2%1-20.6%1-30.1%1-4+0.0%2 2-04.5%2-11.1%2-20.1%2-30.0%2-4+0.0%3 3-00.6%3-10.2%3-20.0%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.0%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 28.1%
Draw 57.0%
Away win 14.9%
Over 2.5 3.0%
Over 3.5 0.5%
BTTS 7.4%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 0-0
xG (home)0.4 xG (away)0.2 BTTS prob7.4%

H 28% / xG 0.4-0.2 / U2.5 3% / NoBTTS 7%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 51.6%
#2 1–0 21.6%
#3 0–1 12.5%
#4 1–1 5.2%
#5 2–0 4.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

UAI Urquiza0.4
Talleres R. E.0.2

COMBINED 0.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 3.0% · O3.5 PROB 0.5%

Form & verdict PPG

UAI URQUIZA · PPG 1.20

TALLERES R. E. · PPG 1.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.20)

Win probability 1X2

UAI Urquiza (H) 28.1%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 57.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Talleres R. E. (A) 14.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

UAI Urquiza face Talleres R. E. on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives UAI Urquiza a 28% chance, the draw 57% and Talleres R. E. 15%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.4 for UAI Urquiza and 0.2 for Talleres R. E. (0.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 3% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 7% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, UAI Urquiza are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.20 for Talleres R. E.. This match finished 0-0.

PredictVantage

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