S. Italiano vs A. Quilmes Prediction

Unknown League Saturday, April 18, 2026 —

S. Italiano PPG 1.80

0-0 HIT CS3

A. Quilmes PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

S. Italiano face A. Quilmes on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives S. Italiano a 61% chance, the draw 25% and A. Quilmes 13%, so S. Italiano are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for S. Italiano and 0.6 for A. Quilmes (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 34% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, S. Italiano are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.00 for A. Quilmes. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 61.2%

Odds: — EV: —

Draw 25.3%

Odds: — EV: —

Away 13.4%

Odds: — EV: —

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.2% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 16.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 33.9% Odds: — —

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 2-0 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✔

4th 1-1 ✘

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

S. Italiano

1.54

A. Quilmes

0.56

Model SuggestionHome  MODEL ONLY
ROI tracking: odds not available yet, so this is a model suggestion only.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)