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SJK vs VPS Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Regular Season - 11 ·Wednesday, June 17, 2026, 18:00

SJK

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

VPS

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-018.1%0-116.3%0-27.4%0-32.2%0-4+0.6%1 1-014.6%1-113.2%1-25.9%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-05.9%2-15.3%2-22.4%2-30.7%2-4+0.2%3 3-01.6%3-11.4%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 32.1% 2.40 -23.0%

Draw 32.8% 3.30 +8.2%

Away win 35.1% 2.72 -4.5%

Over 2.5 37.4% 1.80 -32.7%

Over 3.5 19.1% 2.95 -26.2%

BTTS 48.5% 1.57 -23.9%

Win probability 1X2

SJK (H) 32.1%

ODDS 2.40 · IMPLIED 41.7% EV -23.0%

Draw 32.8%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +8.2%

VPS (A) 35.1%

ODDS 2.72 · IMPLIED 36.8% EV -4.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 20 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 60%

O2.5 30%

BTTS 30%

Score Hit 35%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.5%

D 33% / xG 0.8-0.9 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 18.1%

#2 1–1 13.2%

#3 0–1 16.3%

#4 1–0 14.6%

#5 0–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

SJK0.8

VPS0.9

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.4% · O3.5 PROB 19.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SJK · PPG 1.00

VPS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

SJK face VPS in Finland - Veikkausliiga on Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives SJK a 32% chance, the draw 33% and VPS 35%, so VPS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for SJK and 0.9 for VPS (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, SJK are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.00 for VPS. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +8.2%.

SJK vs VPS Prediction— Finland - Veikkausliiga

Match Preview & Prediction

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