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Finland - Veikkausliiga Saturday, May 30, 2026 12:00 
HJK Helsinki PPG 1.75 
Mariehamn PPG 0.25
Finland - Veikkausliiga Saturday, May 30, 2026 12:00 HJK Helsinki PPG 1.751-0 HIT MostLikelyScore
Mariehamn PPG 0.25Away· +96.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 46.2% Odds: 1.50 -30.7%
Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 2.20 -23.4%
BTTS 45.5% Odds: 1.95 -11.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-0 ✔
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 0-0 ✘
4th 1-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
HJK Helsinki 1.66
Mariehamn 0.46
Model Suggestion
Home -32.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -32.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+96.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+96.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 15 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 67%
O2.5/Under 27%
BTTS/No 27%
Score Hit 33%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.75) vs P(Home)=56.0%