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Gimnasia Jujuy vs Nueva Chicago Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 16 ·Wednesday, June 17, 2026, 18:00

Gimnasia Jujuy

PPG 2.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Nueva Chicago

PPG 1.43 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.4%0-111.3%0-24.4%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-016.6%1-113.0%1-25.1%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.6%2-17.5%2-23.0%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-03.7%3-12.9%3-21.1%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.1%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 43.8% 1.65 -27.7%

Draw 29.6% 3.40 +0.4%

Away win 26.6% 5.00 +19.8%

Over 2.5 41.2% 2.25 -7.3%

Over 3.5 22.3% 4.00 -6.5%

BTTS 48.5% 2.10 +1.8%

Win probability 1X2

Gimnasia Jujuy (H) 43.8%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -27.7%

Draw 29.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV +0.4%

Nueva Chicago (A) 26.6%

ODDS 5.00 · IMPLIED 20.0% EV +19.8%

League track record ↗

Based on 131 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 72%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 70%

ROI 0.3%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.5%

H 44% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.4%

#2 1–1 13.0%

#3 1–0 16.6%

#4 2–0 9.6%

#5 0–1 11.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gimnasia Jujuy1.2

Nueva Chicago0.8

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.2% · O3.5 PROB 22.3%

Form & verdict PPG

GIMNASIA JUJUY · PPG 2.75

NUEVA CHICAGO · PPG 1.43

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.75) vs P(Home)=43.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gimnasia Jujuy face Nueva Chicago in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimnasia Jujuy a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Nueva Chicago 27%, so Gimnasia Jujuy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Gimnasia Jujuy and 0.8 for Nueva Chicago (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimnasia Jujuy are averaging 2.75 points per game versus 1.43 for Nueva Chicago. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.8%.

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Nueva Chicago Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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