Today / Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah

Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah Prediction

Championship Playoffs - 1 ·Tuesday, June 16, 2026

Al Qadsia

PPG 2.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Salmiyah

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.9%0-111.7%0-24.3%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-017.6%1-112.9%1-24.7%1-31.2%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.7%2-17.1%2-22.6%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-03.6%3-12.6%3-21.0%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-10.9%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 43.9% — —

Draw 29.9% — —

Away win 26.2% — —

Over 2.5 43.6% — —

Over 3.5 22.9% — —

BTTS 48.5% — —

Win probability 1X2

Al Qadsia (H) 43.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 29.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Al Salmiyah (A) 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob48.5%

H 44% / xG 1.1-0.7 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.9%

#2 1–0 17.6%

#3 1–1 12.9%

#4 0–1 11.7%

#5 2–0 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Qadsia1.1

Al Salmiyah0.7

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 22.9%

Form & verdict PPG

AL QADSIA · PPG 2.11

AL SALMIYAH · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.11) > Away GOOD (1.67)

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Qadsia face Al Salmiyah on Tuesday, June 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Qadsia a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Al Salmiyah 26%, so Al Qadsia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Al Qadsia and 0.7 for Al Salmiyah (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Qadsia are averaging 2.11 points per game versus 1.67 for Al Salmiyah.

Al Qadsia vs Al Salmiyah Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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