Today / Kazma vs Al Arabi SC

Kazma vs Al Arabi SC Prediction

Tuesday, June 16, 2026

Kazma
PPG 1.44 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Al Arabi SC
PPG 1.89 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.5%0-116.9%0-29.2%0-33.4%0-4+1.2%1 1-012.0%1-113.1%1-27.1%1-32.6%1-4+0.9%2 2-04.6%2-15.0%2-22.7%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.2%3-11.3%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV
Home win 27.9%
Draw 30.8%
Away win 41.3%
Over 2.5 38.4%
Over 3.5 21.9%
BTTS 48.5%

Win probability 1X2

Kazma (H) 27.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 30.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Al Arabi SC (A) 41.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 32%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.5%

A 41% / xG 0.8-1.1 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.5%
#2 1–1 13.1%
#3 0–1 16.9%
#4 1–0 12.0%
#5 0–2 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kazma0.8
Al Arabi SC1.1

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.4% · O3.5 PROB 21.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KAZMA · PPG 1.44

AL ARABI SC · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.44) vs Away GOOD (1.89)

Match Preview & Prediction

Kazma face Al Arabi SC on Tuesday, June 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kazma a 28% chance, the draw 31% and Al Arabi SC 41%, so Al Arabi SC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Kazma and 1.1 for Al Arabi SC (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kazma are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.89 for Al Arabi SC.

PredictVantage

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