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Wadi Degla vs National Bank Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Relegation Group - 5 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 18:00

Wadi Degla

PPG 1.42 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

National Bank

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-021.8%0-111.7%0-23.1%0-30.6%0-4+0.1%1 1-021.5%1-111.5%1-23.1%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-010.6%2-15.7%2-21.5%2-30.3%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.5%3-11.9%3-20.5%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% 32.8% 3.05 +39.1%

Draw 35.0% 38.5% 2.60 -9.0%

Away win 19.5% 37.7% 2.65 -48.3%

Over 2.5 19.7% 42.0% 2.38 -53.1%

Over 3.5 6.9% 23.1% 4.33 -70.1%

BTTS 26.0% 54.1% 1.85 -51.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 59%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -23.4%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 48%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob26.0%

H 46% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 20% / NoBTTS 26%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 21.8%

#2 1–0 21.5%

#3 0–1 11.7%

#4 1–1 11.5%

#5 2–0✓ 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wadi Degla1.0

National Bank0.5

COMBINED 1.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 19.7% · O3.5 PROB 6.9%

Form & verdict PPG

WADI DEGLA · PPG 1.42

NATIONAL BANK · PPG 1.50

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.42), Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Wadi Degla (H) 45.6%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV +39.1%

Draw 35.0%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -9.0%

National Bank (A) 19.5%

ODDS 2.65 · IMPLIED 37.7% EV -48.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wadi Degla face National Bank in Egypt - Premier League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wadi Degla a 46% chance, the draw 35% and National Bank 20%, so Wadi Degla are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Wadi Degla and 0.5 for National Bank (1.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 20% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 26% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wadi Degla are averaging 1.42 points per game versus 1.50 for National Bank. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +39.1%. This match finished 2-0.

Wadi Degla vs National Bank Prediction— Egypt - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Egypt - Premier League Predictions