Today / A. Contractors vs El Geish

A. Contractors vs El Geish Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

A. Contractors
PPG 0.75 · HOME
2 – 0
FULL TIME
El Geish
PPG 0.92 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-024.5%0-111.1%0-22.5%0-30.4%0-4+0.0%1 1-023.4%1-110.6%1-22.4%1-30.4%1-4+0.0%2 2-011.2%2-15.0%2-21.1%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-03.6%3-11.6%3-20.4%3-30.1%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.5%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 46.8%
Draw 36.3%
Away win 17.0%
Over 2.5 16.8%
Over 3.5 5.4%
BTTS 22.3%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 47%CONFIDENCE
✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob22.3%

H 47% / xG 1.0-0.5 / U2.5 17% / NoBTTS 22%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 24.5%
#2 1–0 23.4%
#3 2–0 11.2%
#4 0–1 11.1%
#5 1–1 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Contractors1.0
El Geish0.5

COMBINED 1.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 16.8% · O3.5 PROB 5.4%

Form & verdict PPG

A. CONTRACTORS · PPG 0.75

EL GEISH · PPG 0.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.75), Away POOR (0.92)

Win probability 1X2

A. Contractors (H) 46.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 36.3%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
El Geish (A) 17.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Contractors face El Geish on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Contractors a 47% chance, the draw 36% and El Geish 17%, so A. Contractors are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for A. Contractors and 0.5 for El Geish (1.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 17% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 22% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Contractors are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 0.92 for El Geish. This match finished 2-0.

PredictVantage

Free daily football predictions across 240+ leagues. A Poisson-based model analyses team form, attack and defence strength, and live bookmaker odds to surface value bets — updated every day, graded every night.

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