Today / Canada - Canadian Premier League / A. Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec

A. Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction— Canada - Canadian Premier League

Group Stage ·Tuesday, June 9, 2026, 23:00

A. Ottawa

PPG 2.33 · HOME

5 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Supra du Quebec

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.5% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-111.1%0-26.8%0-32.8%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.5%1-113.0%1-28.1%1-33.3%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.2%2-17.7%2-24.7%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.4%3-13.0%3-21.9%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.6% 47.6% 2.10 -25.2%

Draw 28.2% 29.9% 3.35 -3.3%

Away win 36.2% 31.3% 3.20 +15.8%

Over 2.5 48.9% 51.8% 1.93 -5.6%

Over 3.5 28.1% 29.9% 3.35 -3.5%

BTTS 54.5% 58.8% 1.70 -7.3%

Home O1.5 38.6% 47.6% 2.10 -18.9%

Away O1.5 33.0% 35.1% 2.85 -5.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 61%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 11.1%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 25%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 5-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.5%

D 28% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–0 8.9%

#3 0–1 11.1%

#4 1–0 10.5%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

A. Ottawa1.2

Supra du Quebec1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

A. OTTAWA · PPG 2.33

SUPRA DU QUEBEC · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=35.6%

Win probability 1X2

A. Ottawa (H) 35.6%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -25.2%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -3.3%

Supra du Quebec (A) 36.2%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +15.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

A. Ottawa face Supra du Quebec in Canada - Canadian Premier League on Tuesday, June 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives A. Ottawa a 36% chance, the draw 28% and Supra du Quebec 36%, so Supra du Quebec are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for A. Ottawa and 1.2 for Supra du Quebec (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, A. Ottawa are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.33 for Supra du Quebec. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +15.8%. This match finished 5-3.

A. Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec Prediction— Canada - Canadian Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

More Canada - Canadian Premier League Predictions