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Central Norte vs Los Andes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Regular Season - 23 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 19:30

Central Norte

PPG 1.22 · HOME

UPCOMING

Los Andes

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-028.1%0-122.0%0-28.6%0-32.2%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.7%1-110.7%1-24.2%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-03.3%2-12.6%2-21.0%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.5%3-10.4%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.7% — — —

Draw 39.0% — — —

Away win 36.3% — — —

Over 2.5 31.1% — — —

Over 3.5 13.1% — — —

BTTS 44.5% — — —

Home O1.5 32.6% — — —

Away O1.5 20.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 195 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 66%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 48%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.5 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob44.5%

A 36% / xG 0.5-0.8 / U2.5 31% / NoBTTS 44%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 28.1%

#2 0–1 22.0%

#3 1–1 10.7%

#4 1–0 13.7%

#5 0–2 8.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Central Norte0.5

Los Andes0.8

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 31.1% · O3.5 PROB 13.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CENTRAL NORTE · PPG 1.22

LOS ANDES · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.30, combined xG 1.27 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Central Norte (H) 24.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 39.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Los Andes (A) 36.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Central Norte face Los Andes in Argentina - Primera Nacional on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Central Norte a 25% chance, the draw 39% and Los Andes 36%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.5 for Central Norte and 0.8 for Los Andes (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Central Norte are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.67 for Los Andes.

Central Norte vs Los Andes Prediction— Argentina - Primera Nacional

Match Preview & Prediction

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