Today / Chile - Primera División / Everton de Vina vs Colo Colo

Everton de Vina vs Colo Colo Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 19:00

Everton de Vina

PPG 1.12 · HOME

UPCOMING

Colo Colo

PPG 2.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.1%0-114.9%0-29.3%0-33.8%0-4+1.5%1 1-010.6%1-113.1%1-28.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-04.6%2-15.7%2-23.6%2-31.5%2-4+0.6%3 3-01.4%3-11.7%3-21.0%3-30.4%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.1% 28.6% 3.50 +5.3%

Draw 27.3% 29.0% 3.45 -3.5%

Away win 42.6% 51.5% 1.94 -17.4%

Over 2.5 50.4% 55.6% 1.80 -9.3%

Over 3.5 28.9% 33.3% 3.00 -8.0%

BTTS 52.6% 59.9% 1.67 -12.2%

Home O1.5 32.6% 34.7% 2.88 -6.1%

Away O1.5 36.5% 51.8% 1.93 -29.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 40 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 40%

O2.5 48%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 28%

ROI 12.0%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.6%

A 43% / xG 0.9-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 12.1%

#3 0–1 14.9%

#4 0–2 9.3%

#5 1–0 10.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Everton de Vina0.9

Colo Colo1.2

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.4% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

EVERTON DE VINA · PPG 1.12

COLO COLO · PPG 2.57

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.36, combined xG 2.12 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Everton de Vina (H) 30.1%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +5.3%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.5%

Colo Colo (A) 42.6%

ODDS 1.94 · IMPLIED 51.5% EV -17.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Everton de Vina face Colo Colo in Chile - Primera División on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Everton de Vina a 30% chance, the draw 27% and Colo Colo 43%, so Colo Colo are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Everton de Vina and 1.2 for Colo Colo (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Everton de Vina are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 2.57 for Colo Colo.

Everton de Vina vs Colo Colo Prediction— Chile - Primera División

Match Preview & Prediction

More Chile - Primera División Predictions