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KFG vs Magni Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 16:00

KFG

PPG 1.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Magni

PPG 0.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

xG gap +1.13 - moderate Home edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.7%0-11.4%0-21.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.6%1 1-02.2%1-14.1%1-23.9%1-32.5%1-4+1.8%2 2-03.3%2-16.3%2-26.0%2-33.8%2-4+2.8%3 3-03.3%3-16.3%3-26.0%3-33.8%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-110.2%4+-29.8%4+-36.2%4+-4+4.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.8% — — —

Draw 17.5% — — —

Away win 27.7% — — —

Over 2.5 76.9% — — —

Over 3.5 53.4% — — —

BTTS 69.5% — — —

Home O1.5 77.3% — — —

Away O1.5 49.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 18 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -18.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 70%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)3.0 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob69.5%

H 55% / xG 3.0-1.9 / O2.5 77% / BTTS 70%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.3%

#2 2–1 6.3%

#3 3–2 6.0%

#4 2–2 6.0%

#5 4–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KFG3.0

Magni1.9

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 76.9% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

KFG · PPG 1.29

MAGNI · PPG 0.17

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.13 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

KFG (H) 54.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Magni (A) 27.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KFG face Magni in Iceland - 2. Deild on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KFG a 55% chance, the draw 18% and Magni 28%, so KFG are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.0 for KFG and 1.9 for Magni (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 70% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KFG are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 0.17 for Magni.

KFG vs Magni Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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