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Vikingur Olafsiik vs Fjolnir Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Regular Season - 15 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 19:15

Vikingur Olafsiik

PPG 1.83 · HOME

UPCOMING

Fjolnir

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-13.7%0-23.0%0-31.6%0-4+0.9%1 1-05.0%1-18.0%1-26.4%1-33.4%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.5%2-18.7%2-26.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-03.9%3-16.3%3-25.0%3-32.7%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-03.5%4+-15.6%4+-24.5%4+-32.4%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.9% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 27.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.9% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 48.0% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.5%

H 50% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.0%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–2 6.4%

#5 3–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vikingur Olafsiik2.2

Fjolnir1.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.9%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKINGUR OLAFSIIK · PPG 1.83

FJOLNIR · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.57 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vikingur Olafsiik (H) 49.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Fjolnir (A) 27.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Vikingur Olafsiik face Fjolnir in Iceland - 2. Deild on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vikingur Olafsiik a 50% chance, the draw 22% and Fjolnir 28%, so Vikingur Olafsiik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Vikingur Olafsiik and 1.6 for Fjolnir (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vikingur Olafsiik are averaging 1.83 points per game versus 1.00 for Fjolnir.

Vikingur Olafsiik vs Fjolnir Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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