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Kári vs Kormákur / Hvöt Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Regular Season - 15 ·Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 19:15

Kári

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kormákur / Hvöt

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-13.3%0-22.1%0-30.9%0-4+0.4%1 1-06.0%1-17.8%1-25.0%1-32.2%1-4+0.9%2 2-07.2%2-19.3%2-26.0%2-32.6%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.7%3-17.4%3-24.8%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-17.7%4+-25.0%4+-32.1%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 24.0% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.8% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 60.1% — — —

Away O1.5 37.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 78%

BTTS 78%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -2.0%

Bet Hit 67%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob63.5%

H 54% / xG 2.4-1.3 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.3%

#2 1–1 7.8%

#3 3–1 7.4%

#4 2–0 7.2%

#5 2–2 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kári2.4

Kormákur / Hvöt1.3

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.8%

Form & verdict PPG

KÁRI · PPG 1.67

KORMÁKUR / HVÖT · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.09 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Kári (H) 53.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Kormákur / Hvöt (A) 24.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kári face Kormákur / Hvöt in Iceland - 2. Deild on Wednesday, July 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kári a 54% chance, the draw 22% and Kormákur / Hvöt 24%, so Kári are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Kári and 1.3 for Kormákur / Hvöt (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kári are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.00 for Kormákur / Hvöt.

Kári vs Kormákur / Hvöt Prediction— Iceland - 2. Deild

Match Preview & Prediction

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