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IF Karlstad vs Enköping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra - 15 ·Sunday, August 2, 2026, 14:00

IF Karlstad

PPG 2.29 · HOME

UPCOMING

Enköping

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-18.0%0-23.6%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-013.5%1-112.1%1-25.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.3%2-19.3%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.3%3 3-05.2%3-14.7%3-22.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.8%4+-12.5%4+-21.1%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.6% 65.4% 1.53 -21.1%

Draw 24.6% 25.0% 4.00 -1.0%

Away win 23.7% 21.1% 4.75 +7.5%

Over 2.5 52.4% 63.7% 1.57 -17.7%

Over 3.5 30.5% 42.0% 2.38 -27.4%

BTTS 52.6% 59.9% 1.67 -12.2%

Home O1.5 45.4% 66.7% 1.50 -31.9%

Away O1.5 24.4% 29.4% 3.40 -10.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI 8.1%

Bet Hit 61%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 52% / xG 1.5-0.9 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–0 13.5%

#3 0–0 8.8%

#4 2–0 10.3%

#5 2–1 9.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

IF Karlstad1.5

Enköping0.9

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.4% · O3.5 PROB 30.5%

Form & verdict PPG

IF KARLSTAD · PPG 2.29

ENKÖPING · PPG 1.50

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.62 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

IF Karlstad (H) 51.6%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -21.1%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.0%

Enköping (A) 23.7%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +7.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

IF Karlstad face Enköping in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Sunday, August 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives IF Karlstad a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Enköping 24%, so IF Karlstad are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for IF Karlstad and 0.9 for Enköping (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, IF Karlstad are averaging 2.29 points per game versus 1.50 for Enköping. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +14.5%.

IF Karlstad vs Enköping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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