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Raufoss vs Strommen Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 14 ·Friday, July 3, 2026, 16:00

Raufoss

PPG 1.17 · HOME

UPCOMING

Strommen

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 69.1% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-12.9%0-22.7%0-31.6%0-4+1.1%1 1-03.7%1-16.8%1-26.1%1-33.7%1-4+2.5%2 2-04.3%2-17.8%2-27.1%2-34.3%2-4+2.9%3 3-03.3%3-16.0%3-25.5%3-33.3%3-4+2.3%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-16.0%4+-25.4%4+-33.3%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.7% 42.0% 2.38 +6.4%

Draw 21.5% 27.0% 3.70 -12.3%

Away win 33.8% 40.8% 2.45 -17.2%

Over 2.5 67.1% 67.6% 1.48 -0.7%

Over 3.5 49.0% 45.5% 2.20 +7.8%

BTTS 69.1% 71.4% 1.40 -3.3%

Home O1.5 61.2% 54.6% 1.83 +12.0%

Away O1.5 49.8% 54.1% 1.85 -7.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 44 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 27%

ROI 4.5%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 52%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob69.1%

H 45% / xG 2.3-1.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.8%

#2 1–1 6.8%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.1%

#5 3–1 6.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Raufoss2.3

Strommen1.8

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.1% · O3.5 PROB 49.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RAUFOSS · PPG 1.17

STROMMEN · PPG 0.67

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

Raufoss (H) 44.7%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV +6.4%

Draw 21.5%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -12.3%

Strommen (A) 33.8%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -17.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Raufoss face Strommen in Norway - 1. Division on Friday, July 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Raufoss a 45% chance, the draw 22% and Strommen 34%, so Raufoss are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Raufoss and 1.8 for Strommen (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Raufoss are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.67 for Strommen. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +40.8%.

Raufoss vs Strommen Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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