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Lyn vs Hodd Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Matchday 13 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 14:00

Lyn

PPG 0.50 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Hodd

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 51.5% vs bookmaker-implied 30.3% — a clear edge.

+70.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-115.1%0-211.2%0-35.6%0-4+2.9%1 1-08.1%1-112.1%1-29.0%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-03.3%2-14.8%2-23.6%2-31.8%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.9%3-11.3%3-21.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 21.5% 51.3% 1.95 -34.8%

Draw 27.0% 28.2% 3.55 -2.5%

Away win 51.5% 30.3% 3.30 +70.0%

Over 2.5 49.8% 61.7% 1.62 -19.3%

Over 3.5 28.6% 40.0% 2.50 -17.1%

BTTS 48.1% 66.7% 1.50 -27.9%

Home O1.5 32.5% 57.8% 1.73 -43.8%

Away O1.5 49.7% 41.7% 2.40 +19.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 73 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 62%

Score Hit 23%

ROI 23.4%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob48.1%

A 52% / xG 0.8-1.5 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 0–1 15.1%

#3 0–0 10.2%

#4 0–2 11.2%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lyn0.8

Hodd1.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LYN · PPG 0.50

HODD · PPG 0.83

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Lyn (H) 21.5%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -34.8%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -2.5%

Hodd (A) 51.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +70.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyn face Hodd in Norway - 1. Division on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyn a 22% chance, the draw 27% and Hodd 52%, so Hodd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Lyn and 1.5 for Hodd (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyn are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.83 for Hodd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +70.0%. This match finished 1-4.

Lyn vs Hodd Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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