Today / Norway - 1. Division / Lyn vs Hodd

Lyn vs Hodd Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 14:00

Lyn

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hodd

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 51.5% vs bookmaker-implied 30.3% — a clear edge.

+70.0% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.2%0-115.1%0-211.2%0-35.6%0-4+2.9%1 1-08.1%1-112.1%1-29.0%1-34.5%1-4+2.3%2 2-03.3%2-14.8%2-23.6%2-31.8%2-4+0.9%3 3-00.9%3-11.3%3-21.0%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.3%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 21.5% 1.95 -34.8%

Draw 27.0% 3.55 -2.5%

Away win 51.5% 3.30 +70.0%

Over 2.5 49.8% 1.62 -19.3%

Over 3.5 28.6% 2.50 -17.1%

BTTS 48.1% 1.50 -27.9%

Home Over 1.5 32.5% 1.73 -43.8%

Away Over 1.5 49.7% 2.40 +19.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -4.6%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 28%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob48.1%

A 52% / xG 0.8-1.5 / U2.5 50% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 0–1 15.1%

#3 0–0 10.2%

#4 0–2 11.2%

#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lyn0.8

Hodd1.5

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LYN · PPG 0.50

HODD · PPG 0.83

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.50) vs Away POOR (0.83)

Win probability 1X2

Lyn (H) 21.5%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -34.8%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -2.5%

Hodd (A) 51.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV +70.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyn face Hodd in Norway - 1. Division on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyn a 22% chance, the draw 27% and Hodd 52%, so Hodd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Lyn and 1.5 for Hodd (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyn are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.83 for Hodd. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +70.0%.

Lyn vs Hodd Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 1. Division Predictions