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Asane vs Ranheim Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 14:00

Asane

PPG 1.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

Ranheim

PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 75.6% vs bookmaker-implied 72.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+4.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.8%0-12.0%0-22.5%0-32.1%0-4+2.5%1 1-01.8%1-14.6%1-25.8%1-34.9%1-4+5.8%2 2-02.1%2-15.3%2-26.7%2-35.7%2-4+6.7%3 3-01.6%3-14.1%3-25.2%3-34.4%3-4+5.2%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-14.0%4+-25.1%4+-34.4%4+-4+5.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 38.0% 3.20 +21.6%

Draw 20.8% 3.95 -10.7%

Away win 41.2% 1.85 -23.8%

Over 2.5 75.6% 1.38 +4.3%

Over 3.5 52.9% 1.95 +3.1%

BTTS 68.6% 1.36 -6.7%

Home Over 1.5 60.6% 2.05 +24.2%

Away Over 1.5 69.5% 1.53 +6.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -4.6%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob68.6%

A 41% / xG 2.3-2.6 / O2.5 76% / BTTS 69%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–2 6.7%

#2 1–2 5.8%

#3 2–3 5.7%

#4 2–1 5.3%

#5 1–1 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Asane2.3

Ranheim2.6

COMBINED 4.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 75.6% · O3.5 PROB 52.9%

Form & verdict PPG

ASANE · PPG 1.50

RANHEIM · PPG 0.60

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=38.0%

Win probability 1X2

Asane (H) 38.0%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +21.6%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -10.7%

Ranheim (A) 41.2%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -23.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Asane face Ranheim in Norway - 1. Division on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Asane a 38% chance, the draw 21% and Ranheim 41%, so Ranheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Asane and 2.6 for Ranheim (4.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-2. There is a 76% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 69% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Asane are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.60 for Ranheim. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +41.2%.

Asane vs Ranheim Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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