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Sandnes Ulf vs Raufoss Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 14:00

Sandnes Ulf

PPG 1.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

Raufoss

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.9%0-13.3%0-21.9%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.0%1-18.0%1-24.6%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.3%2-19.5%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.6%3-17.6%3-24.3%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-07.0%4+-18.0%4+-24.6%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 57.8% 1.67 -3.5%

Draw 21.9% 3.80 -10.1%

Away win 20.3% 4.20 -8.8%

Over 2.5 66.3% 1.50 -0.5%

Over 3.5 43.6% 2.20 -4.1%

BTTS 62.2% 1.48 -7.9%

Home Over 1.5 60.6% 1.53 -7.3%

Away Over 1.5 36.3% 2.55 -7.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 28%

ROI -4.6%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob62.2%

H 58% / xG 2.4-1.1 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.5%

#2 1–1 8.0%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 3–1 7.6%

#5 3–0 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandnes Ulf2.4

Raufoss1.1

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDNES ULF · PPG 1.67

RAUFOSS · PPG 0.50

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=57.8%

Win probability 1X2

Sandnes Ulf (H) 57.8%

ODDS 1.67 · IMPLIED 59.9% EV -3.5%

Draw 21.9%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -10.1%

Raufoss (A) 20.3%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -8.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandnes Ulf face Raufoss in Norway - 1. Division on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandnes Ulf a 58% chance, the draw 22% and Raufoss 20%, so Sandnes Ulf are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for Sandnes Ulf and 1.1 for Raufoss (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandnes Ulf are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.50 for Raufoss. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +12.1%.

Sandnes Ulf vs Raufoss Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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