Today / DVTK vs Debrecen

DVTK vs Debrecen Prediction

Saturday, April 18, 2026

DVTK

PPG 1.14 · HOME

0 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Debrecen

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-111.5%0-29.6%0-35.3%0-4+3.2%1 1-07.0%1-111.6%1-29.6%1-35.3%1-4+3.2%2 2-03.5%2-15.8%2-24.9%2-32.7%2-4+1.6%3 3-01.2%3-12.0%3-21.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 23.0% — — —

Draw 24.4% — — —

Away win 52.6% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 27.9% — — —

BTTS 51.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-5

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob51.4%

A 53% / xG 1.0-1.7 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 0–1 11.5%

#3 1–2 9.6%

#4 0–2 9.6%

#5 1–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

DVTK1.0

Debrecen1.7

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

DVTK · PPG 1.14

DEBRECEN · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.67) vs Home AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

DVTK (H) 23.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Debrecen (A) 52.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

DVTK face Debrecen on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DVTK a 23% chance, the draw 24% and Debrecen 53%, so Debrecen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for DVTK and 1.7 for Debrecen (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DVTK are averaging 1.14 points per game versus 1.67 for Debrecen. This match finished 0-5.

DVTK vs Debrecen Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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