Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 / Mjondalen vs Notodden
Mjondalen vs Notodden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1
Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 13:00
// Model verdict
BTTS
xG gap -0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
League track record ↗
Based on 41 resolved predictions
Correct score prediction
A 35% / xG 1.4-1.4 / O2.5 58% / BTTS 60%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 57.7% · O3.5 PROB 33.8%
Form & verdict
MJONDALEN · PPG 2.67
NOTODDEN · PPG 2.29
xG gap -0.01 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
Mjondalen face Notodden in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mjondalen a 40% chance, the draw 25% and Notodden 35%, so Mjondalen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Mjondalen and 1.4 for Notodden (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mjondalen are averaging 2.67 points per game versus 2.29 for Notodden.