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Lysekloster vs Bjarg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 14:00

Lysekloster

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Bjarg

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

xG gap -0.51 - moderate Away edge

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.3%0-17.9%0-27.2%0-34.4%0-4+3.0%1 1-05.7%1-110.4%1-29.5%1-35.8%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.7%2-16.8%2-26.2%2-33.8%2-4+2.6%3 3-01.6%3-13.0%3-22.7%3-31.7%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.3%4+-21.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 44.4% — — —

Over 2.5 61.2% — — —

Over 3.5 37.9% — — —

BTTS 62.1% — — —

Home O1.5 38.3% — — —

Away O1.5 48.8% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 37%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -42.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob62.1%

A 44% / xG 1.3-1.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.4%

#2 1–2 9.5%

#3 0–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 0–1 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lysekloster1.3

Bjarg1.8

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 37.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LYSEKLOSTER · PPG 1.00

BJARG · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -0.51 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Lysekloster (H) 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bjarg (A) 44.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lysekloster face Bjarg in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lysekloster a 31% chance, the draw 24% and Bjarg 44%, so Bjarg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Lysekloster and 1.8 for Bjarg (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lysekloster are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Bjarg.

Lysekloster vs Bjarg Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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