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jerv vs Lysekloster Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 13 ·Sunday, July 26, 2026, 12:30

jerv

PPG 2.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Lysekloster

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

xG gap +1.98 for Home, form 2.60 vs 0.83 - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-12.2%0-20.9%0-30.2%0-4+0.1%1 1-07.6%1-16.2%1-22.5%1-30.7%1-4+0.2%2 2-010.6%2-18.6%2-23.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-09.9%3-18.0%3-23.2%3-30.9%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-013.6%4+-111.0%4+-24.5%4+-31.2%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 69.4% — — —

Draw 17.8% — — —

Away win 12.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.5% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 65.9% — — —

Away O1.5 20.1% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 32%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob55.4%

H 69% / xG 2.8-0.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.6%

#2 3–0 9.9%

#3 2–1 8.6%

#4 3–1 8.0%

#5 1–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

jerv2.8

Lysekloster0.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.5%

Form & verdict PPG

JERV · PPG 2.60

LYSEKLOSTER · PPG 0.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

xG gap +1.98 for Home, form 2.60 vs 0.83 - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

jerv (H) 69.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Lysekloster (A) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

jerv face Lysekloster in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, July 26, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives jerv a 69% chance, the draw 18% and Lysekloster 13%, so jerv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for jerv and 0.8 for Lysekloster (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, jerv are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 0.83 for Lysekloster.

jerv vs Lysekloster Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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