Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 / Sandviken vs Kvik Halden

Sandviken vs Kvik Halden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, August 1, 2026, 12:00

Sandviken logo
Sandviken
PPG 1.00 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Kvik Halden logo
Kvik Halden
PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-17.4%0-27.4%0-34.9%0-4+3.9%1 1-04.8%1-19.6%1-29.6%1-36.4%1-4+5.1%2 2-03.1%2-16.2%2-26.2%2-34.2%2-4+3.3%3 3-01.4%3-12.7%3-22.7%3-31.8%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.2%4+-21.2%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.8%
Draw 21.8%
Away win 50.4%
Over 2.5 64.0%
Over 3.5 41.9%
BTTS 62.1%
Home O1.5 38.3%
Away O1.5 50.0%

League track record

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%
O2.5 37%
BTTS 49%
Score Hit 29%
ROI -42.0%
Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 51%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.3 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob62.1%

A 50% / xG 1.3-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%
#2 1–2 9.6%
#3 0–2 7.4%
#4 1–3 6.4%
#5 2–1 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandviken1.3
Kvik Halden2.0

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 41.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDVIKEN · PPG 1.00

KVIK HALDEN · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

xG gap -0.70 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Sandviken (H) 27.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 21.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Kvik Halden (A) 50.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandviken face Kvik Halden in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, August 1, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandviken a 28% chance, the draw 22% and Kvik Halden 50%, so Kvik Halden are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sandviken and 2.0 for Kvik Halden (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandviken are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.83 for Kvik Halden.

PredictVantage

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