Today / Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro

Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro Prediction

Regular Season - 35 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 17:30

Juve Stabia

PPG 1.88 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Catanzaro

PPG 1.35 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.35)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.3%0-16.9%0-23.8%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-010.5%1-111.5%1-26.3%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.8%2-19.6%2-25.3%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-04.9%3-15.4%3-22.9%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-13.3%4+-21.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 50.8% — — —

Draw 24.2% — — —

Away win 24.9% — — —

Over 2.5 52.4% — — —

Over 3.5 30.2% — — —

BTTS 54.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.1%

H 51% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 52% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1✓ 11.5%

#2 1–0 10.5%

#3 2–1 9.6%

#4 2–0 8.8%

#5 0–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Juve Stabia1.7

Catanzaro1.1

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.4% · O3.5 PROB 30.2%

Form & verdict PPG

JUVE STABIA · PPG 1.88

CATANZARO · PPG 1.35

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.88) > Away AVERAGE (1.35)

Win probability 1X2

Juve Stabia (H) 50.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Catanzaro (A) 24.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Juve Stabia face Catanzaro on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Juve Stabia a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Catanzaro 25%, so Juve Stabia are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Juve Stabia and 1.1 for Catanzaro (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Juve Stabia are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 1.35 for Catanzaro. This match finished 1-1.

Juve Stabia vs Catanzaro Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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