Today / Gimnasia Jujuy vs SM San Juan

Gimnasia Jujuy vs SM San Juan Prediction

Saturday, June 13, 2026

Gimnasia Jujuy

PPG 2.71 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

SM San Juan

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.6%0-19.0%0-23.5%0-30.9%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.0%1-112.4%1-24.8%1-31.2%1-4+0.3%2 2-011.0%2-18.5%2-23.3%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-05.1%3-13.9%3-21.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-11.8%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.2% — — —

Draw 27.3% — — —

Away win 23.5% — — —

Over 2.5 47.1% — — —

Over 3.5 28.1% — — —

BTTS 47.8% — — —

Home O1.5 41.6% — — —

Away O1.5 24.3% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.8%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.8 / U2.5 47% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 1–0 16.0%

#3 0–0 11.6%

#4 2–0 11.0%

#5 2–1✓ 8.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gimnasia Jujuy1.4

SM San Juan0.8

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

GIMNASIA JUJUY · PPG 2.71

SM SAN JUAN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.71) vs P(Home)=49.2%

Win probability 1X2

Gimnasia Jujuy (H) 49.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

SM San Juan (A) 23.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Gimnasia Jujuy face SM San Juan on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gimnasia Jujuy a 49% chance, the draw 27% and SM San Juan 24%, so Gimnasia Jujuy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Gimnasia Jujuy and 0.8 for SM San Juan (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gimnasia Jujuy are averaging 2.71 points per game versus 1.00 for SM San Juan. This match finished 2-1.

Gimnasia Jujuy vs SM San Juan Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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