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Queanbeyan City vs Monaro Panthers Prediction— Australia - Capital Territory NPL

Regular Season - 13 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 05:00

Queanbeyan City

PPG 2.40 · HOME

2 – 5

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Monaro Panthers

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 73.0% vs bookmaker-implied 75.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-12.3%0-22.1%0-31.3%0-4+0.9%1 1-03.1%1-15.8%1-25.3%1-33.3%1-4+2.3%2 2-04.0%2-17.4%2-26.8%2-34.2%2-4+3.0%3 3-03.4%3-16.3%3-25.8%3-33.6%3-4+2.5%4+ 4+-04.0%4+-17.4%4+-26.8%4+-34.2%4+-4+3.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.3% 28.6% 3.50 +83.0%

Draw 20.8% 26.7% 3.75 -13.2%

Away win 26.9% 57.1% 1.75 -31.8%

Over 2.5 73.0% 75.2% 1.33 -2.9%

Over 3.5 53.4% 57.5% 1.74 -7.1%

BTTS 67.2% 77.5% 1.29 -13.3%

Home O1.5 61.0% 50.3% 1.99 +21.4%

Away O1.5 49.4% 71.9% 1.39 -31.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 33%

ROI 5.3%

Bet Hit 77%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-5

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob67.2%

H 52% / xG 2.6-1.8 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.4%

#2 2–2 6.8%

#3 1–1 5.8%

#4 3–1 6.3%

#5 3–2 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Queanbeyan City2.6

Monaro Panthers1.8

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.0% · O3.5 PROB 53.4%

Form & verdict PPG

QUEANBEYAN CITY · PPG 2.40

MONARO PANTHERS · PPG 1.50

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=52.3%

Win probability 1X2

Queanbeyan City (H) 52.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +83.0%

Draw 20.8%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -13.2%

Monaro Panthers (A) 26.9%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -31.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Queanbeyan City face Monaro Panthers in Australia - Capital Territory NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Queanbeyan City a 52% chance, the draw 21% and Monaro Panthers 27%, so Queanbeyan City are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Queanbeyan City and 1.8 for Monaro Panthers (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Queanbeyan City are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.50 for Monaro Panthers. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +114.5%. This match finished 2-5.

Queanbeyan City vs Monaro Panthers Prediction— Australia - Capital Territory NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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