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Croydon Kings vs Playford P. Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 05:00

Croydon Kings

PPG 1.00 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY O1.5

Playford P.

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.9%0-24.7%0-33.8%0-4+4.1%1 1-02.7%1-16.6%1-28.0%1-36.5%1-4+7.1%2 2-02.3%2-15.6%2-26.9%2-35.6%2-4+6.1%3 3-01.3%3-13.2%3-23.9%3-33.2%3-4+3.5%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-12.0%4+-22.5%4+-32.0%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.1% — — —

Draw 21.3% — — —

Away win 44.6% — — —

Over 2.5 65.8% — — —

Over 3.5 47.0% — — —

BTTS 66.7% — — —

Home O1.5 54.8% — — —

Away O1.5 67.9% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 60 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 22%

ROI 4.6%

Bet Hit 75%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)2.4 BTTS prob66.7%

A 45% / xG 1.7-2.4 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.0%

#2 1–1 6.6%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–1 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Croydon Kings1.7

Playford P.2.4

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 47.0%

Form & verdict PPG

CROYDON KINGS · PPG 1.00

PLAYFORD P. · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Croydon Kings (H) 34.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Playford P. (A) 44.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Croydon Kings face Playford P. in Australia - South Australia NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Croydon Kings a 34% chance, the draw 21% and Playford P. 45%, so Playford P. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Croydon Kings and 2.4 for Playford P. (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Croydon Kings are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Playford P.. This match finished 4-1.

Croydon Kings vs Playford P. Prediction— Australia - South Australia NPL

Match Preview & Prediction

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