OConnor Knight PPG 1.29
Tuggeranong Utd PPG 1.50OConnor Knight face Tuggeranong Utd in Australia - Capital Territory NPL on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives OConnor Knight a 29% chance, the draw 19% and Tuggeranong Utd 52%, so Tuggeranong Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for OConnor Knight and 2.9 for Tuggeranong Utd (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, OConnor Knight are averaging 1.29 points per game versus 1.50 for Tuggeranong Utd. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +49.6%.
Based on 13 resolved predictions
Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away GOOD (1.50)